The honeymoon period ends, but the government remains relatively stable
Six months into the administration, signs of an impending deterioration in the relationship between the Executive and Congress are starting to surface.
Last month, we identified four pieces of good news for the business environment: (i) lower prices of certain imported goods, (ii) lower political risk, (iii) improved business confidence, and (iv) some stabilization in local financial variables.
During June, these positive trends have continued to consolidate. Thus, this month, business confidence has continued to increase (see graph) and the exchange rate reached S/ 3.63 soles per dollar, its lowest level in 14 months.
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Analyst
Six months into the administration, signs of an impending deterioration in the relationship between the Executive and Congress are starting to surface.
After a challenging start of the year, characterized by social conflicts and heavy rains, the Peruvian economy has begun to show signs of recovery, albeit at a slow pace.
Nearly six months into the change of government, the probability of president Boluarte completing her presidential term increases despite underlying risks.
