In 2024, a more favorable business environment is anticipated than the previous year.
On the international front, despite the lower global momentum, commodity prices will have a relatively favorable evolution for the country. On the one hand, we foresee a moderate slowdown in our main trading partners. In the case of the US, we anticipate lower growth due to i) the lagged effect of contractionary monetary policy, ii) a lower fiscal impulse and iii) the depletion of excess household savings. Meanwhile, the Chinese economy will continue to slow down due to structural factors, as well as difficulties in boosting the real estate sector and greater regulation in the technology sector.
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Analyst
The Government’s main allies, Fuerza Popular and APP, leveraged the crisis triggered by the murder of 13 mine workers in Pataz to strengthen their influence over ministerial appointments.
So far this year, the economic recovery appears to have consolidated, with growth becoming more broad-based. Domestic demand has shown solid performance.
In the first quarter of the year, economic growth remained solid (3.6%). This was the result of a combination of favorable dynamics for GDP.
