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Economic Outlook

27/07/2024

The improvement in private consumption in 2H2024 could be differentiated by socioeconomic segments


During the first half of the year, GDP grew at an average rate of approximately 2.5%, driven mainly by the rebound in activity in the primary sectors.

However, the recovery in non-primary sectors linked to domestic demand remains modest, given that families have not yet perceived significant improvements in their financial situations. At APOYO Consultoría, we anticipate that the recovery in the sectors most closely linked to household consumption, especially in non-essential spending categories, will be more pronounced in the second half of the year.

To access the complete report contact us at: contactaSAE@apoyoconsultoria.com

José Carlos Saavedra

Partner and principal economist

OUR PERSPECTIVE

In 2026, the Peruvian economy will grow by 3.2%, a pace similar to that of 2025, despite electoral risks

In the third quarter of 2025, the economy grew by 2.5%, a slower pace than that observed in the first months of the year.

Government and Congress maintain their alliance as the pension reform stalls and the 2026 election remains fragmented

This month, President Dina Boluarte’s cabinet demonstrated resilience in the face of criticism over leaked audio recordings implicating Ministers Eduardo Arana (PCM) and Juan José Santiváñez (Interior).

Changes in the Cabinet have strengthened the alliance with Congress amid a context of growing institutional weakness.

The Government’s main allies, Fuerza Popular and APP, leveraged the crisis triggered by the murder of 13 mine workers in Pataz to strengthen their influence over ministerial appointments.

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