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Economic Outlook

30/01/2025

El crecimiento económico será más generalizado en el 2025 que en el 2024


2024 was a year of inflection in the economic cycle, where there was moderate growth after the recession of 2023. The growth observed last year was mainly driven by: i) a strong rebound in primary activities, such as fishing; ii) a notable increase in public spending, with double-digit increases in both State remuneration and public investment; and iii) greater dynamism in private consumption in 2H, largely explained by the temporary effect of the withdrawal of funds from the AFPs.

If you wish to access the full report, write to us at: contactaSAE@apoyoconsultoria.com

Daniela Ramos

Analyst

OUR PERSPECTIVE

Changes in the Cabinet have strengthened the alliance with Congress amid a context of growing institutional weakness.

The Government’s main allies, Fuerza Popular and APP, leveraged the crisis triggered by the murder of 13 mine workers in Pataz to strengthen their influence over ministerial appointments.

Economic growth likely remained steady at the beginning of Q2 and is becoming increasingly broad-based, despite the uncertain external environment.

So far this year, the economic recovery appears to have consolidated, with growth becoming more broad-based. Domestic demand has shown solid performance.

The serious deterioration in the conduct of economic policy in the United States would impact Peru's economic growth mainly in 2026.

In the first quarter of the year, economic growth remained solid (3.6%). This was the result of a combination of favorable dynamics for GDP.

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