Nearly six months into the change of government, the probability of president Boluarte completing her presidential term increases despite underlying risks. While initially the scenario of early elections in 2023 seemed more likely (calling for early elections in December 2022, was approved in the first round) Congress, has lost it’s incentive to continue with the process. In fact, as of January 2023, Congress has rejected the initial proposal and failed to reach a consensus on more than the seven presented proposals. The sustained decline in social conflict has contributed to the issue losing priority in the legislative debate.
For now, the possibility of an advancement materializing by the end of this year or early 2024 is becoming increasingly remote.
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Senior analyst
In the last month, the political panorama has been marked by the beginning of the electoral race. The electoral schedule requires possible candidates who want to participate in the next electoral process to be affiliated with a political organization.
During the second quarter, GDP would have grown at a higher rate than during the first quarter, mainly due to the recovery of the primary sectors.
In the month of May, the Attorney General, Juan Carlos Villena, filed a constitutional complaint against President Dina Boluarte, for the alleged crime of improper passive bribery to the detriment of the State.
