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Political outlook

21/06/2022

The honeymoon period ends, but the government remains relatively stable

Six months into the administration, signs of an impending deterioration in the relationship between the Executive and Congress are starting to surface. Although it is unlikely that Dina Boluarte’s stability in office will be impacted, as there is a prevailing incentive for continuity in both branches of government, the end of the initial honeymoon period is approaching. A faction of the parties initially aligned with the government coalition seems to be choosing to distance themselves from a government that is becoming increasingly delegitimized. 

During a recent interview, Keiko Fujimori, leader of the Fuerza Popular party, strongly criticized the government and suggested that the president should make changes in the ministries of Energy and Mines, Interior, Agrarian Development, and Health. It is anticipated that Fuerza Popular will continue to distance itself from the government and openly position itself as the opposition in the future. Similar sentiments have been expressed by Congressman José Cueto of Renovacion Popular. Reflecting this sentiment, Congress has approved motions for interpellation of the ministers of Energy and Mines, Justice, and Health (the Health Minister resigned on June 15th after the motion against her was approved). President Boluarte is expected to announce cabinet modifications during the State of the Nation address on July 28th.

To access the complete report contact us at: contactaSAE@apoyoconsultoria.com

María Alejandra Gutierrez

Senior analyst

OUR PERSPECTIVE

The Executive-Legislative relationship strengthens amid political uncertainty

In the last month, the political panorama has been marked by the beginning of the electoral race. The electoral schedule requires possible candidates who want to participate in the next electoral process to be affiliated with a political organization.

At the end of the second quarter, there are no clear signs of a break in the economic cycle

During the second quarter, GDP would have grown at a higher rate than during the first quarter, mainly due to the recovery of the primary sectors.

President Boluarte opens new legal and political avenues, although her support in Congress remains solid

In the month of May, the Attorney General, Juan Carlos Villena, filed a constitutional complaint against President Dina Boluarte, for the alleged crime of improper passive bribery to the detriment of the State.

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