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OUR PERSPECTIVE

Economic Outlook

In the third quarter of 2025, the economy grew by 2.5%, a slower pace than that observed in the first months of the year.

Political outlook

This month, President Dina Boluarte’s cabinet demonstrated resilience in the face of criticism over leaked audio recordings implicating Ministers Eduardo Arana (PCM) and Juan José Santiváñez (Interior).

Political outlook

The Government’s main allies, Fuerza Popular and APP, leveraged the crisis triggered by the murder of 13 mine workers in Pataz to strengthen their influence over ministerial appointments.

Economic Outlook

So far this year, the economic recovery appears to have consolidated, with growth becoming more broad-based. Domestic demand has shown solid performance.

Economic Outlook

In the first quarter of the year, economic growth remained solid (3.6%). This was the result of a combination of favorable dynamics for GDP.

Political outlook

The deadline for registering political organizations in the Registry of Political Organizations (ROP) expired on April 12.

Economic Outlook

The economy maintained a solid growth pace in Q1 2025, around 3.8%, slightly above expectations. Primary sectors, such as agro-exports and fishing, continued to rebound, although they were still affected by weather conditions in Q1 2024.

Political outlook

This month, the political agenda has once again focused on citizen insecurity. The death of a singer from a well-known musical group, allegedly at the hands of extortionists, sparked renewed criticism of the Minister of the Interior, who was censured by Congress, which in turn triggered new protests.

Political outlook

Despite growing criticism, President Dina Boluarte remains reluctant to remove him from office, as Santivañez plays a key role in her efforts to obstruct investigations against her and her inner circle, including her brother Nicanor Boluarte.

Economic Outlook

Several economic indicators suggest that the growth observed in late 2024 extended into early 2025. Thus, economic growth at the beginning of this year is estimated to have been around 4%.

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